Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 8 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1302

MLB

Top Over

Angel Martinez

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Royce Lewis

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Mauricio Dubon

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jake Mccarthy

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.4

Top 4

Brandon Nimmo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ STL	H	2.3	1.2	0.9	93	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	BAL @ TEX	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ KC	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ PHI	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ SF	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Wilyer Abreu ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ BOS	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ SEA	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	OAK @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ WSH	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ SF	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	COL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Jones	3/3	ATL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tim Tawa	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Benge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PIT	H	2.0	1.3	0.8	67	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jacob Young	3/3	CIN @ WSH	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ MIL	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	TB @ SEA	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	NYM @ PIT	H	0.3	1.0	1.3	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	NYM @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	0.7	1.4	1.5	56	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	TB @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TB @ SEA	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	LAA @ MIA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	TOR @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	TB @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	CHC @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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