Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 11 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1285

MLB

Top Over

Ivan Herrera

H • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Wilyer Abreu

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Royce Lewis

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Ivan Herrera

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jackson Holliday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Jac Caglianone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Andres Gimenez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	0.7	0.8	1.5	40	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Griffin Conine	3/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CIN @ CWS	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Cavanaugh	3/3	HOU @ SF	H	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tim Tawa	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	0.7	0.7	1.5	38	UNDER	0.0	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.3	1.3	0.5	38	OVER	+0.0	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ LAD	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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