Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 30 – Aug 12 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Pete Alonso

H • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.3 • 80

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Pete Alonso

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Yandy Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	0.7	1.2	1.1	38	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ CWS	H	0.3	0.7	0.9	38	UNDER	-0.4	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	KC @ LAD	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	0.7	0.9	1.3	36	UNDER	-0.2	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	KC @ LAD	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SF	H	0.3	1.1	0.5	35	UNDER	-0.8	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Harry Ford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	0.3	0.6	0.9	35	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brady House	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Tolbert	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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