Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 6 – Aug 12 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

38.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Pete Alonso

H • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.3 • 80

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Pete Alonso

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Yandy Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Andy Pages	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Malgeri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CIN @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ STL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Charles Mcadoo	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ STL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	HOU @ SF	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Myles Straw	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Olson	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.6	0.5	25	OVER	+0.1	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Royce Lewis	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.3	1.7	0.7	24	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	TB @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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