Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 6 – Aug 12 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

38.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Pete Alonso

H • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.3 • 80

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Pete Alonso

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Yandy Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zack Gelof	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ SF	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	SEA @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Harry Ford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	CHC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zack Gelof	3/3	TB @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.0	0.5	1.3	17	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Donovan Walton	3/3	TB @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh	3/3	HOU @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	PIT @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia	3/3	KC @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	NYM @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Clark	3/3	CLE @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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