Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 13 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

787

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Chourio

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Denzer Guzman

RBI • -0.7 • 21

Top 1

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Trent Grisham

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Myles Straw	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CWS	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	TB	0.0	0.0	2.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Kody Clemens	3/3	PHI @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.3	0.9	0.8	38	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	H	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Myles Straw	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Baez	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ali Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	0.7	0.8	1.3	34	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	0.7	0.8	1.3	34	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.5	33	UNDER	-0.7	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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