Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 1 – Aug 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

36.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Dillon Dingler

H • -1.1 • 79

Top Fade

Jac Caglianone

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Rafael Flores Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

Ketel Marte

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dane Myers	3/3	MIA @ CIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ PIT	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum	3/3	BOS @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	KC @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	AZ @ ATL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Locklear	3/3	AZ @ ATL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ ATL	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	MIA @ CIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	CWS @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ LAD	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	NYY @ TOR	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios	3/3	BAL @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	SD @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Buddy Kennedy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers	3/3	MIA @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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