Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 5 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • +1.3 • 91

Top Under

Daylen Lile

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +0.3 • 19

Top 1

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Zack Gelof

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Zack Gelof

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Cooper Pratt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ KC	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	TOR @ KC	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	WSH @ LAD	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ SD	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Elias Diaz	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.8	71	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ SD	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TEX	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ LAD	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ MIA	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	TOR @ KC	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Pedro Ramirez	3/3	CHC @ MIA	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ NYM	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ SD	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	STL @ COL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	STL @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	MIL @ CIN	H	2.0	1.7	0.7	59	OVER	+0.3	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brady House ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	TOR @ KC	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	STL @ COL	H	2.0	1.3	1.1	57	OVER	+0.7	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ha-seong Kim	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	WSH @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ KC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	LAA @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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