Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 5 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • +1.3 • 91

Top Under

Daylen Lile

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +0.3 • 19

Top 1

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Zack Gelof

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Zack Gelof

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Cooper Pratt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Lara ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	MIL @ CIN	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Clark ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	TOR @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	LAA @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Osleivis Basabe	3/3	SF @ NYM	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oswald Peraza ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ PIT	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Flores Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ PIT	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shay Whitcomb	3/3	SF @ NYM	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	AZ @ HOU	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nick Yorke	3/3	LAA @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ NYM	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ HOU	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	TOR @ KC	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	1.3	22	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	TOR @ KC	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ TEX	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ KC	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Connor Norby	3/3	STL @ COL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ CIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ NYM	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	SF @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	TOR @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddie Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley	3/3	CHC @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	NYY @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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