Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • +1.3 • 91

Top Under

Daylen Lile

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +0.3 • 19

Top 1

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Zack Gelof

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Zack Gelof

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Cooper Pratt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ KC	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Moises Ballesteros	3/3	LAA @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ TEX	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.5	1.0	3	WATCH	+0.5	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Call	3/3	WSH @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Baez	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	AZ @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ MIA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	H	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	LAA @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	LAA @ PIT	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ LAD	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	STL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	AZ @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	STL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ HOU	H	0.7	0.8	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	LAA @ PIT	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	NYY @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ PIT	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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