Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 8 – Sep 14 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

883

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Elly De La Cruz

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Josh Naylor

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Graham Pauley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	2.3	1.3	0.8	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	George Springer	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Weston Wilson	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	2.3	1.4	0.9	88	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dustin Harris	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	2.3	1.7	0.7	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	SF @ STL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	SF @ STL	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Enrique Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.7	0.8	0.8	68	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brett Bateman	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	2.0	1.5	0.9	58	OVER	+0.5	+1.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Max Clark	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	SF @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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