Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

883

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Elly De La Cruz

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Josh Naylor

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Graham Pauley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shay Whitcomb	3/3	SF @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Turner Hill	3/3	SF @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Walker Jenkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Weston Wilson	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.3	1.5	0.9	12	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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