Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

883

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Elly De La Cruz

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Josh Naylor

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Graham Pauley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Freddy Fermin	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Thomas Saggese	3/3	SF @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini	3/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zac Veen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Benge	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Clark	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Genao ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Lawlar	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zac Veen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Juan Soto	3/3	BAL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Knizner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ STL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini	3/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zac Veen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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