Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 15 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1328

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

RBI • +3.3 • 100

Top Under

Coby Mayo

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.9 • 23

Top 1

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.4 | Edge: +3.3

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.1

Top 3

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Luis Torrens

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Josh Jung	3/3	BOS @ TEX	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Campusano	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Clark	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios	3/3	OAK @ TB	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bo Bichette	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brett Baty	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	SF @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lazaro Montes	3/3	SEA @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Campusano	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	NYY @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Siri	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	SF @ STL	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ PIT	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	KC @ HOU	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	BAL @ NYM	H	0.3	1.4	0.7	49	UNDER	-1.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ PIT	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CIN	H	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Burleson	3/3	SF @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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