Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1328

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

RBI • +3.3 • 100

Top Under

Coby Mayo

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.9 • 23

Top 1

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.4 | Edge: +3.3

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.1

Top 3

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Luis Torrens

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	BOS @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	KC @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	OAK @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nate Eaton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TEX	H	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adael Amador	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Bateman	3/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	MIL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	MIL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	BOS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ STL	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ HOU	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ MIN	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zach Neto	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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