Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 9 – Sep 15 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1328

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

RBI • +3.3 • 100

Top Under

Coby Mayo

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.9 • 23

Top 1

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.4 | Edge: +3.3

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.1

Top 3

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Luis Torrens

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ TB	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Genao ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Sullivan	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elias Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	BAL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Siri	3/3	SEA @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens	3/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Petey Halpin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Thomas Saggese	3/3	SF @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Walker Jenkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adael Amador	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	KC @ HOU	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	KC @ HOU	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Rafael Flores Jr.	3/3	MIL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Benge	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	BOS @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Genao ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TEX	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Petey Halpin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.0	0.6	1.0	0	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Siri	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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