Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

41.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1374

MLB

Top Over

Walker Jenkins

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cody Bellinger

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jackson Merrill

H • +0.3 • 30

Top 1

Walker Jenkins

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Mookie Betts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Will Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Ty France

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kyle Tucker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Walker Jenkins	3/3	MIN @ LAA	H	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Mookie Betts	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	3.3	1.6	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Will Smith	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ty France	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	2.7	1.7	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Kyle Tucker	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	OAK @ CLE	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ HOU	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andrew Knizner	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ PIT	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	KC @ PIT	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CLE	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ PIT	H	0.0	0.5	1.5	71	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CLE	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ HOU	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Benge	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	2.0	1.2	1.1	68	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cam Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	MIL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	SEA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CHC @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dustin Harris	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	NYY @ AZ	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	KC @ PIT	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ethan Salas	3/3	MIA @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ LAA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.1	1.5	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ BAL	H	0.7	1.5	1.3	60	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.6	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Konnor Griffin	3/3	KC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	2.0	1.7	0.7	59	OVER	+0.3	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Connor Norby	3/3	SEA @ COL	H	2.0	1.5	0.9	58	OVER	+0.5	+1.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Konnor Griffin	3/3	KC @ PIT	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	ATL @ HOU	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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