Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 22 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1354

MLB

Top Over

Nick Loftin

H • +1.5 • 97

Top Under

Lawrence Butler

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Ivan Herrera

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Jake Cronenworth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Jose Ramirez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Nick Loftin	3/3	CWS @ KC	H	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ BOS	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	CIN @ ATL	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	CLE @ BOS	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SEA	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.3	1.6	0.7	77	OVER	+0.7	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SF	H	2.0	1.2	0.8	77	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Lawrence Butler	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josue De Paula	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CHC	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Samad Taylor	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ OAK	H	0.0	0.5	1.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SF	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CWS @ KC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	LAA @ OAK	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Riley Greene ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	NYM @ TEX	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIA @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	George Lombard Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CHC	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Roman Anthony	3/3	CLE @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andy Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brett Bateman	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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