Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 24 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1079

MLB

Top Over

Vinnie Pasquantino

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Randy Arozarena

HR • -1.0 • 87

Top Fade

Christian Walker

HR • -0.7 • 52

Top 1

Vinnie Pasquantino

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Vaughn Grissom

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Austin Riley	3/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alika Williams	—	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Griffin Conine ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CHC	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIA @ CHC	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ ATL	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIL @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes	—	HOU @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	—	HOU @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	NYM @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dustin Harris ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz	—	HOU @ OAK	H	2.0	1.3	1.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	0.3	1.4	0.5	43	UNDER	-1.1	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.3	1.4	0.5	43	UNDER	-1.1	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CHC	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wade Meckler ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	CIN @ ATL	H	0.7	1.5	1.0	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIL @ PHI	H	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	NYM @ TEX	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ronny Simon	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Thomas Saggese ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tim Tawa ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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