Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 26 – Sep 24 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

44.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1079

MLB

Top Over

Vinnie Pasquantino

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Randy Arozarena

HR • -1.0 • 87

Top Fade

Christian Walker

HR • -0.7 • 52

Top 1

Vinnie Pasquantino

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Vaughn Grissom

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	—	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zack Gelof	—	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	1.0	41	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	H	0.3	1.3	0.5	40	UNDER	-1.0	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	LAA @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Fry ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	CIN @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	NYM @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	LAA @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	MIL @ PHI	H	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	CIN @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.3	1.2	0.5	38	UNDER	-0.9	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dustin Harris ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	H	0.3	1.2	0.5	38	UNDER	-0.9	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cam Smith	—	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Colson Montgomery ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Francisco Lindor ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Justin Foscue ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ketel Marte ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Salvador Perez	3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shea Langeliers	—	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Lars Nootbaar ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ COL	H	0.7	0.7	1.5	38	UNDER	0.0	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.3	1.3	0.5	38	OVER	+0.0	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	CLE @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	MIL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	—	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	NYM @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brock Rodden ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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