Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1391

MLB

Top Over

Lawrence Butler

H • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Cole Carrigg

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Lawrence Butler

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Gabriel Moreno

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Julio Rodriguez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Francisco Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Morabito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Griffin Conine	3/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Serna	3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Gasper	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Osleivis Basabe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Donovan Walton	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.2	1.3	WATCH	+0.1	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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