Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1338

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Lucas Spence

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Lucas Spence

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Geraldo Perdomo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	PIT @ DET	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ MIN	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Bateman	3/3	CIN @ TOR	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ MIN	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	PIT @ DET	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SD	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ DET	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Arroyo	3/3	LAA @ SEA	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	LAA @ SEA	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tim Tawa	3/3	ARI @ SD	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	TB @ PHI	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SD	H	1.3	1.6	0.8	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Jorge	3/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Moore	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen	3/3	TEX @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hector Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	TEX @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Callahan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Serna	3/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Serna	3/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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