Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1338

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Lucas Spence

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Lucas Spence

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Geraldo Perdomo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	ARI @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Osleivis Basabe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.8	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Griffin Conine	3/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Wetherholt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.2	1.3	WATCH	+0.1	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	TEX @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Morabito ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ DET	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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