Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1338

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Lucas Spence

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Lucas Spence

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Geraldo Perdomo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isiah Kiner-falefa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Mccann	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Cox	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Barrosa	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lucas Spence	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	0.6	1.0	0	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.5	1.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Franklin	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith	3/3	ARI @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	ARI @ SD	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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