Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 29 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

371

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

TB • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -1.0 • 68

Top Fade

Xander Bogaerts

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Lucas Spence

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Taylor Trammell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	CHC @ SD	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.3	1.1	0.8	45	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan De La Cruz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Ben Rice	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lucas Spence	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	TB	0.0	0.0	2.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.8	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	2.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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