Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 30 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

383

MLB

Top Over

Manny Machado

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Munetaka Murakami

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Cam Smith

TB • -1.5 • 42

Top 1

Manny Machado

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hays	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nate Eaton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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