Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 24 – Sep 30 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

45%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

383

MLB

Top Over

Manny Machado

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Munetaka Murakami

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Cam Smith

TB • -1.5 • 42

Top 1

Manny Machado

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.7	0.2	1.0	17	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.7	0.2	1.0	17	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	TB	1.7	0.5	1.7	15	FADE OVER	+1.2	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nate Eaton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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