Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 27 – Oct 3 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

47.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

398

MLB

Top Over

Ben Rice

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Jonathan Aranda

HR • -1.0 • 82

Top Fade

Sean Murphy

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Xander Bogaerts

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	TB	4.0	1.2	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.8	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	4.0	1.2	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.8	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	3.3	1.0	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Brice Turang	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	NYY @ TB	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	1.0	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	2.7	0.8	1.5	78	TOP OVER	+1.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	2.7	0.8	1.5	78	TOP OVER	+1.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.9	77	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	ATL @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	George Lombard Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	ATL @ LAD	H	0.3	1.5	1.0	70	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.8	63	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.7	0.8	1.0	62	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	2.7	1.4	1.5	60	OVER	+1.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	ATL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	1.2	59	UNDER	-0.4	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	1.3	0.4	3.3	57	FADE OVER	+0.9	-2.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	2.3	0.8	1.5	57	OVER	+1.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.9	54	UNDER	-0.6	-0.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	1.0	52	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.3	1.5	51	UNDER	-0.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	0.7	0.2	3.2	50	FADE OVER	+0.5	-2.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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