Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

396

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Brenton Doyle

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Spencer Jones

TB • -1.8 • 39

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jonny Deluca

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

William Contreras

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jonathan Aranda

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Spencer Jones	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	0.3	0.2	2.1	39	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	2.3	1.1	2.0	39	OVER	+1.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	3.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.3	0.8	0.9	38	OVER	+0.5	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.7	0.9	38	UNDER	-0.4	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	R	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samad Taylor	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.8	37	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.9	36	WATCH	0.0	-1.9	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Enrique Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	1.3	0.9	0.9	35	OVER	+0.4	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.3	0.6	0.9	35	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	2.3	2.1	1.5	34	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	H	0.3	0.7	0.8	34	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	LAD @ ATL	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.8	34	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	TB @ NYY	R	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	1.7	0.6	1.5	32	OVER	+1.1	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.7	0.8	1.5	32	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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