Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

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Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

396

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Brenton Doyle

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Spencer Jones

TB • -1.8 • 39

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jonny Deluca

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

William Contreras

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jonathan Aranda

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samad Taylor	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	LAD @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	MIL @ SD	R	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CLE @ CWS	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ ATL	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	TB @ NYY	TB	0.7	0.2	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tommy Pham ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samad Taylor	3/3	MIL @ SD	TB	0.7	0.3	1.5	20	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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