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Strong Plays Record
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← Jun 2 →
Wins
0
Losses
4
Push
2
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-02 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
387
Total Found
267
Shown
267
Actionable
45
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Drew Gilbert 3/3 SF @ MIL CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 1.57
Hits 0.5 +120 54.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
45.5% 21.2% 0
SF @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
127 Brett Baty 3/3 NYM @ SEA 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.69
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 1
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
128 TJ Friedl
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 KC @ CIN
LHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.61
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 0
KC @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
129 Alex Jackson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CWS @ MIN TBD Hits 0.5 -112 47.2 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
52.8% 13.8% 2
CHW @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
130 Christopher Morel
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.08
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
MIA @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
131 Tristan Gray 3/3 CWS @ MIN TBD Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 2
CHW @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
132 Sebastian Rivero
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 COL @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -116 46.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.7% 13.0% 0
COL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
133 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ SEA C
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.69
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% N/A
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
134 Luke Raley 3/3 NYM @ SEA TBD Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
135 Nasim Nunez 3/3 MIA @ WSH
S vs RHP
ERA 3.77
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
MIA @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
136 Josh Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ STL
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.57
Hits 0.5 -124 44.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
55.4% 11.3% N/A
TEX @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
137 Jared Young 3/3 NYM @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.69
Hits 0.5 -125 44.4 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
55.6% 11.1% 0
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
138 David Hamilton 3/3 SF @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.34
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 0
SF @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
139 Jazz Chisholm Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ NYY PH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.57
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 1
CLE @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
140 Pedro Pages
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ STL C
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.93
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 0
TEX @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
141 Travis d'Arnaud
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% N/A
COL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
142 Dominic Canzone 3/3 NYM @ SEA RF TBD Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 3
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
143 Jackson Holliday
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 2.95
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
BAL @ BOS
6:45 PM ET
Final
144 Jhonny Pereda
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ SEA C TBD Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 2
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
145 Ronny Mauricio
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ SEA DH
S vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.69
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
NYM @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
146 Ryan Ward
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 0
LAD @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
147 Dylan Beavers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BAL @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 2.95
Hits 0.5 -137 42.2 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.8% 8.9% N/A
BAL @ BOS
6:45 PM ET
Final
148 Joe Mack
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIA @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.08
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 1
MIA @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
149 Ryan McMahon
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ NYY 3B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.57
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
CLE @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
150 Kyle Isbel 3/3 KC @ CIN CF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.02
Hits 0.5 -144 41.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.0% 7.7% 0
KC @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
Showing 126–150 of 267 plays