Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

235

Total Found

152

Shown

152

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ ATL		Martín Pérez LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	SF @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Postponed
127	Trent Grisham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ NYY	CF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
128	Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TEX		Jack Leiter LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	3	MIN @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final W
129	Brandon Marsh	3/3	NYM @ PHI	PH	Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.64	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
130	J.T. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	C	Sean Manaea RHB vs LHP ERA 4.64	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
131	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ PHI	2B	Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.71	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
132	Matt Olson	3/3	SF @ ATL	1B	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.15	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	SF @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Postponed
133	Chase DeLauter ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ MIL	RF	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.40	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final
134	Corey Seager ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ TEX	SS	Joe Ryan LHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 2.99	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	MIN @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final
135	Francisco Lindor ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ PHI	SS	Aaron Nola S vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.71	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final
136	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ SEA		Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.94	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	BAL @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
137	Jac Caglianone	3/3	STL @ KC	RF	Matthew Liberatore LHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	STL @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
138	Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ KC		Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.20	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	3	STL @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
139	Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	1B	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.76	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
140	William Contreras	3/3	CLE @ MIL	C	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
141	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RF	Trey Yesavage LHB vs RHP ERA 3.76	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
142	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX		Jack Leiter RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	MIN @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
143	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ ATL		Martín Pérez LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	N/A	SF @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Postponed
144	Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RF	Sonny Gray LHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 3.12	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
145	Angel Martínez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ MIL	PH	Shane Drohan S vs LHP ERA 3.40	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	N/A	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final
146	Maikel Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ KC	3B	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	N/A	STL @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final
147	Ben Rice	3/3	CWS @ NYY	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
148	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	CF	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.76	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
149	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ NYY	2B	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
150	Jackson Chourio	3/3	CLE @ MIL	LF	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 126–150 of 152 plays

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