Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 18 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

813

MLB

Top Over

Jose Caballero

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Zack Gelof

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Jose Caballero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

J.t. Realmuto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Bo Bichette

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.4

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.6 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jose Caballero	3/3	CWS @ NYY	RBI	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ NYY	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	2.7	1.7	1.3	87	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ TEX	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ ATL	H	2.0	1.0	0.9	79	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	CWS @ NYY	H	2.3	1.6	0.7	77	OVER	+0.7	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TEX	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ KC	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	CWS @ NYY	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeff Mcneil	3/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Emerson	3/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ KC	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Maikel Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ KC	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	CWS @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	H	0.3	1.0	1.3	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ SEA	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Caleb Durbin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Burger	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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