Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 19 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1205

MLB

Top Over

Trevor Larnach

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Nick Madrigal

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Paul Goldschmidt

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Trevor Larnach

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Casey Schmitt

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Carter Jensen

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Colt Keith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Eugenio Suarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ AZ	H	2.7	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Carter Jensen	3/3	STL @ KC	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ NYY	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Madrigal ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ OAK	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ ATL	H	0.3	1.7	1.3	84	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	0.3	1.4	1.5	83	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-1.2	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.6	0.5	83	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Shaw	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CLE @ HOU	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ KC	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ TB	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	CIN @ NYY	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Colt Emerson	3/3	BOS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	BOS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	MIL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Anthony Volpe	3/3	CIN @ NYY	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ AZ	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ MIA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Shaw	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Isaac Collins	3/3	STL @ KC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	STL @ KC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Samad Taylor	3/3	SD @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Isaac Collins	3/3	STL @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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