Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

235

Total Found

152

Shown

152

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Jose Caballero ELITE	3/3	CWS @ NYY	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	137.5	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	12.5%	87.5%	0	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
2	Josh Bell ELITE	3/3	MIN @ TEX	DH	Jack Leiter S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Hits	1.5	+300	125.0	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	2	MIN @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final W
3	Paul Goldschmidt ELITE	3/3	CWS @ NYY	PH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
4	Casey Schmitt ELITE	3/3	SF @ ATL		Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	N/A	SF @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Postponed
5	Bo Bichette ELITE	3/3	NYM @ PHI	3B	Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.71	Hits	1.5	+165	112.3	3, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	37.7%	62.3%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
6	Zack Gelof ELITE	3/3	LAA @ OAK		Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 12.83	Runs Batted In	0.5	+165	112.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	37.7%	62.3%	0	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
7	Davis Schneider ELITE	3/3	TOR @ BOS	LF	Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 3.12	Hits	0.5	+120	104.5	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	45.5%	54.5%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
8	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ NYY	DH	Ryan Weathers LHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 4.13	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
9	Francisco Alvarez ELITE	3/3	NYM @ PHI	C	Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.71	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	3, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
10	Samuel Basallo ELITE	3/3	BAL @ SEA		Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.94	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	0	BAL @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
11	Donovan Walton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ OAK		Gage Jump LHB vs LHP ERA 2.37	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
12	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ OAK	RF	Gage Jump LHB vs LHP ERA 2.37	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
13	Mark Vientos ELITE	3/3	NYM @ PHI	1B	Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.71	Hits	0.5	-151	89.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.2%	39.8%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
14	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ MIL	3B	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.40	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
15	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ MIL	3B	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	CLE @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
16	Brandon Valenzuela ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ BOS	C	Sonny Gray S vs RHP Good 88% ERA 3.12	Hits	0.5	-158	88.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.2%	38.8%	2	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final W
17	Davis Schneider	3/3	TOR @ BOS	LF	Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 3.12	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
18	Jose Caballero	3/3	CWS @ NYY	3B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CHW @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
19	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ TEX	DH	Jack Leiter S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.29	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	MIN @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
20	Lane Thomas	3/3	STL @ KC		Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.23	Home Runs	0.5	+650	86.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	13.3%	53.3%	0	STL @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
21	Zack Gelof ELITE	3/3	LAA @ OAK		Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 12.83	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	LAA @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
22	J.T. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	C	Sean Manaea RHB vs LHP ERA 4.64	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
23	Maikel Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ KC	3B	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.23	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	STL @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final
24	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ ATL		Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	SF @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Postponed
25	J.T. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	C	Sean Manaea RHB vs LHP ERA 4.64	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	NYM @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 152 plays

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