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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 15 – Jul 21 →
Wins
6
Losses
18
Push
11
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
354
Total Found
279
Shown
279
Actionable
73
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.33
 Home Runs 0.5 +575 135.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 14.8% 85.2% N/A
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
2 Isaac Collins ELITE 3/3 SF @ KC LF
S vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.31
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +232 119.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 30.1% 69.9% 0
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
3 Weston Wilson ELITE 3/3 CIN @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +223 119.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.0% 69.0% 1
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
4 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.33
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +222 118.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.1% 68.9% N/A
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
5 Michael Busch ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 1B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.10
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +218 118.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.4% 68.6% 1
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
6 Jacob Wilson ELITE 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +208 117.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 32.5% 67.5% 2
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
7 Riley Greene ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC DH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 6.45
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +194 116.0 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.0% 66.0% 0
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
8 Ketel Marte ELITE 3/3 OAK @ ARI 2B
S vs RHP
ERA 6.87
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +161 111.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 38.3% 61.7% 1
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
9 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.03
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +160 111.5 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 38.5% 61.5% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
10 Jacob Wilson ELITE 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Hits 1.5 +152 110.3 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 39.7% 60.3% 1
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
11 Pedro Ramirez ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 3B
S vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.10
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +145 109.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 40.8% 59.2% 0
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
12 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.93
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +132 106.9 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.1% 56.9% 1
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
13 Michael Harris II ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.36
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +130 106.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.5% 56.5% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
14 Willi Castro ELITE 3/3 WSH @ COL
S vs RHP
ERA 5.53
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +130 106.5 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.5% 56.5% 0
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
15 Yordan Alvarez ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.48
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +125 105.6 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 44.4% 55.6% 0
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
16 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 OAK @ ARI C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.87
 Hits 0.5 +106 101.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.5% 51.5% N/A
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
17 Kahlil Watson ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.79
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 1
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
18 Ryan McMahon ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY 3B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.77
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
19 Weston Wilson ELITE 3/3 CIN @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 1
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
20 Marcell Ozuna ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.03
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
21 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 1
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
22 Mike Yastrzemski ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ ATL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.36
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
23 Jacob Wilson 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Home Runs 0.5 +1100 91.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 8.3% 58.3% 1
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
24 Isaac Collins ELITE 3/3 SF @ KC LF
S vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.31
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 1
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
25 Miguel Amaya ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 DET @ CHC C
RHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.10
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
Showing 1–25 of 279 plays
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