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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 16 – Jul 22 →
Wins
7
Losses
23
Push
11
Win %
23.3%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
414
Total Found
285
Shown
285
Actionable
51
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 135.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 14.3% 85.7% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
2 CJ Abrams ELITE 3/3 WSH @ COL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Home Runs 0.5 +350 127.8 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 22.2% 77.8% 0
WSH @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
3 CJ Abrams ELITE 3/3 WSH @ COL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +320 126.2 4, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 23.8% 76.2% 0
WSH @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
4 Nick Fortes ELITE 3/3 TB @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 121.4 4, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 28.6% 71.4% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
5 Weston Wilson ELITE 3/3 CIN @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +223 119.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.0% 69.0% 0
CIN @ SEA
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
6 Michael Busch ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +211 117.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 32.2% 67.8% 0
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
7 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +205 117.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 32.8% 67.2% 2
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
8 Jonny DeLuca ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 TB @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +188 115.3 3, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 34.7% 65.3% N/A
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
9 Manny Machado ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +174 113.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 36.5% 63.5% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
10 Ty France ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL 1B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +174 113.5 1, 1, 5
3/3
100.0%
 36.5% 63.5% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
11 Jake Burger ELITE 3/3 CWS @ TEX 1B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +158 111.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 38.8% 61.2% 0
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
12 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +155 110.8 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 39.2% 60.8% 0
PIT @ NYY
1:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
13 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +155 110.8 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 39.2% 60.8% 0
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
14 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.17
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +132 106.9 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.1% 56.9% 0
CIN @ SEA
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
15 Weston Wilson ELITE 3/3 CIN @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 0
CIN @ SEA
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
16 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.03
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 0
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
17 Marcell Ozuna ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
PIT @ NYY
1:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
18 Marcell Ozuna ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
19 Jacob Wilson 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Home Runs 0.5 +1100 91.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 8.3% 58.3% 0
ATH @ ARI
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
20 Miguel Amaya ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 DET @ CHC C
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.22
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
21 Nick Fortes ELITE 3/3 TB @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 3, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 1
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
22 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 OAK @ ARI C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.78
 Hits 0.5 -144 91.0 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.0% 41.0% 3
ATH @ ARI
3:40 PM ET
Final
W
23 Nick Fortes 3/3 TB @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
24 Enrique Hernandez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAD @ PHI 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 8%
ERA 5.68
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
LAD @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
25 Hao-Yu Lee ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC
Unknown
Average 41%
ERA 4.74
 Hits 0.5 -159 88.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.4% 38.6% 1
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 1–25 of 285 plays
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