Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

318

Total Found

198

Shown

198

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	CJ Abrams ELITE	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	3, 2, 4	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	3	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final W
2	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ WSH	C	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.60	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	N/A	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final
3	Freddie Freeman ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	1B	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	3, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	2	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final W
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ELITE	3/3	TOR @ BOS	DH	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.15	Hits	1.5	+192	115.8	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	34.2%	65.8%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
5	Jeremy Pena ELITE	3/3	HOU @ CWS	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+170	113.0	3, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	37.0%	63.0%	2	HOU @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final W
6	Austin Wells ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	C	Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.65	Hits	0.5	-115	96.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	53.5%	46.5%	0	NYY @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final L
7	Francisco Alvarez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	C	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 5.13	Hits	0.5	-125	94.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.6%	44.4%	N/A	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final
8	Alan Roden ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	LF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-129	93.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	56.3%	43.7%	0	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
9	Josh Rojas ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ DET	PH	Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.57	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	N/A	KC @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final
10	Bryan Torres ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	LF	Andrew Abbott LHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.89	Hits	0.5	-139	91.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.2%	41.8%	0	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
11	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	C	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.68	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	2, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	CLE @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
12	Chase Meidroth	3/3	HOU @ CWS	2B	Ronel Blanco RHB vs RHP ERA 7.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	1	HOU @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
13	Andruw Monasterio ELITE	3/3	TOR @ BOS	PH	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.51	Hits	0.5	-153	89.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	60.5%	39.5%	1	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final W
14	Enrique Hernandez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	3B	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final
15	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ WSH	C	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.60	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final
16	Ezequiel Duran ELITE	3/3	SEA @ TEX	3B	Logan Gilbert RHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-156	89.1	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.9%	39.1%	1	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final W
17	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIA		Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 5.23	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
18	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	LF	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	2	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final W
19	Blaze Jordan	3/3	CIN @ STL		Andrew Abbott RHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.89	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
20	Luis Rengifo ELITE	3/3	SD @ MIA		Janson Junk S vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 5.09	Hits	0.5	-170	87.0	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	63.0%	37.0%	2	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final W
21	Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ NYM	RF	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
22	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIA	1B	Janson Junk RHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 5.09	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
23	Casey Schmitt	3/3	LAA @ SF		José Soriano RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.43	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
24	Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ BAL	2B	Shane Baz S vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.05	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ATL @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/11 L
25	Jasson Dominguez ELITE	3/3	NYY @ PHI		Cristopher Sánchez S vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.65	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	0	NYY @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 198 plays

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