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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 29 – Jul 28 →
Wins
26
Losses
78
Push
33
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
342
Total Found
229
Shown
229
Actionable
29
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Tyrone Taylor ELITE 3/3 ATL @ NYM
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 140.9 3, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 9.1% 90.9% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
2 Luis Arraez ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.05
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +263 122.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 27.5% 72.5% 0
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
3 Bo Bichette ELITE 3/3 ATL @ NYM 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Hits 1.5 +260 122.2 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 27.8% 72.2% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
4 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ARI @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.47
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 119.7 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 1
ARI @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final/12
W
5 Chandler Simpson ELITE 3/3 TEX @ TB LF TBD Hits 1.5 +200 116.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.3% 66.7% 0
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
6 Freddie Freeman ELITE 3/3 SEA @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.85
 Hits 1.5 +195 116.1 2, 3, 3
3/3
100.0%
 33.9% 66.1% 1
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
7 Colt Emerson ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SEA @ LAD TBD Hits 0.5 -105 98.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 51.2% 48.8% N/A
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
8 Willy Adames ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.05
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 1
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
9 Jake Bauers ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIL @ SF 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.93
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% N/A
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
10 Josh Rojas ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 KC @ MIN PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.69
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
KC @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
11 Francisco Alvarez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ NYM C
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
12 Marcus Semien 3/3 ATL @ NYM 2B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 90.9 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
13 Cole Carrigg ELITE 3/3 COL @ SD CF
S vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.24
 Hits 0.5 -149 90.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.8% 40.2% 3
COL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
14 Jo Adell ELITE 3/3 HOU @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.03
 Hits 0.5 -149 90.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.8% 40.2% 0
HOU @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
15 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 TEX @ TB 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.89
 Home Runs 0.5 +850 89.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.5% 56.1% 0
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
16 Tyrone Taylor 3/3 ATL @ NYM
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Home Runs 0.5 +850 89.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.5% 56.1% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
17 Brady House ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TOR @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.70
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 2
TOR @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
18 Enrique Hernandez ELITE 3/3 SEA @ LAD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.85
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
19 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ARI @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.47
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 4
ARI @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final/12
W
20 Jeff McNeil ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BOS @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.58
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
BOS @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
21 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 TEX @ TB 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.89
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 1
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
22 Hunter Goodman ELITE 3/3 COL @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.24
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 0
COL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
23 Marcus Semien 3/3 ATL @ NYM 2B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.19
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% N/A
ATL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
24 Teoscar Hernandez ELITE 3/3 SEA @ LAD LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.85
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
25 Hao-Yu Lee 3/3 BAL @ DET
Unknown
ERA 5.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 85.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
BAL @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 229 plays
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