Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jun 28 – Jul 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

240

Total Found

156

Shown

156

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ PIT	C	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	N/A	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10
2	CJ Abrams ELITE	3/3	TOR @ WSH		Max Scherzer LHB vs RHP ERA 10.23	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	3, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
3	Jeremy Pena ELITE	3/3	HOU @ LAA	SS	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
4	Dansby Swanson ELITE	3/3	CHC @ STL	SS	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+177	113.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	36.1%	63.9%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
5	Luis Arraez ELITE	3/3	MIL @ SF		Brandon Sproat LHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+170	113.0	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	37.0%	63.0%	1	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
6	Pete Crow-Armstrong ELITE	3/3	CHC @ STL	CF	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+160	111.5	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	38.5%	61.5%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
7	Seiya Suzuki ELITE	3/3	CHC @ STL	RF	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+151	110.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	39.8%	60.2%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
8	Munetaka Murakami ELITE	3/3	NYY @ CWS	1B	Max Fried LHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 2.97	Hits	0.5	-125	94.4	3, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.6%	44.4%	1	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
9	Hao-Yu Lee ELITE	3/3	BAL @ DET		Kyle Bradish Unknown Weak 10% ERA 3.49	Hits	0.5	-130	93.5	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	56.5%	43.5%	1	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
10	Jo Adell ELITE	3/3	HOU @ LAA		Tatsuya Imai RHB vs RHP ERA 5.59	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
11	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ WSH		Max Scherzer RHB vs RHP ERA 10.23	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
12	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ PIT	C	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10
13	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SEA @ TEX	3B	George Kirby RHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.57	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	1	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
14	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	SS	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
15	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	ATL @ NYM		Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 3.38	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	3	ATL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
16	Francisco Alvarez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	C	Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	ATL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
17	Dansby Swanson ELITE	3/3	CHC @ STL	SS	TBD	Hits	0.5	-178	86.0	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.0%	36.0%	1	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W
18	Anthony Volpe ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	2B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	1	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
19	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ PIT	DH	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
20	Daulton Varsho ELITE	3/3	TOR @ WSH		Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 4.22	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	0	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
21	Romy Gonzalez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ OAK		Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.75	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	N/A	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
22	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ SF	RF	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final
23	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RF	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.13	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
24	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIL @ SF		Brandon Sproat LHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	0, 4, 3	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
25	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIL @ SF		Brandon Sproat LHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 156 plays

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