Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

215

Total Found

127

Shown

127

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Jackson Merrill ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	CF	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+180	114.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	35.7%	64.3%	0	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
2	Joey Bart ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Jake Irvin RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.23	Hits	0.5	-115	96.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	53.5%	46.5%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 7:00 PM ET Final
3	Willy Adames ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD		JP Sears RHB vs LHP ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
4	Enrique Hernandez ELITE	3/3	SEA @ LAD	3B	Bryan Woo RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.37	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	0	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
5	Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.79	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 7:00 PM ET Final
6	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.56	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
7	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RF	Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
8	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	LF	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
9	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ STL	2B	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 3.77	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CHC @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
10	Lars Nootbaar ELITE	3/3	CHC @ STL		Javier Assad LHB vs RHP ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-170	87.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.0%	37.0%	0	CHC @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
11	Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	2B	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.56	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
12	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RF	Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
13	Jonah Heim	3/3	BOS @ OAK		Sonny Gray S vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.78	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
14	Jackson Merrill ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	CF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
15	Ty France ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	1B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	0	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
16	Jeff McNeil ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK		Sonny Gray LHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.78	Hits	0.5	-196	83.8	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	66.2%	33.8%	1	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
17	Kody Clemens ELITE	3/3	KC @ MIN	2B	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.93	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	1	KC @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final W
18	Manny Machado ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	3B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	0	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
19	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	LF	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
20	Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ TB	CF	Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	TEX @ TB 12:10 PM ET Final L
21	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CWS	LF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final/11
22	Jung Hoo Lee ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD		JP Sears LHB vs LHP ERA 3.86	Hits	0.5	-225	80.8	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	69.2%	30.8%	1	SF @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
23	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	2B	Rhett Lowder LHB vs RHP Weak 13% ERA 5.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+380	79.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	PIT @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
24	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	2	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
25	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.56	Runs Batted In	0.5	+299	74.9	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	25.1%	41.6%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 127 plays

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