Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

215

Total Found

127

Shown

127

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	SS	Eury Pérez S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.56	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
102	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	LF	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
103	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RF	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
104	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ TB	3B	Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TEX @ TB 12:10 PM ET Final L
105	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CWS	PH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final/11
106	Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ TB		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TEX @ TB 12:10 PM ET Final L
107	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ LAD	1B	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
108	Noelvi Marte	3/3	PIT @ CIN		Yohan Ramírez RHB vs RHP ERA 3.21	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	PIT @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
109	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	PIT @ CIN	C	Yohan Ramírez RHB vs RHP ERA 3.21	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	PIT @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
110	Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Nolan McLean S vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
111	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ TB	RF	Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	TEX @ TB 12:10 PM ET Final L
112	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ LAD	2B	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
113	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ MIN		Bailey Ober RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 4.56	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	KC @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
114	Andy Pages	3/3	SEA @ LAD	CF	Bryan Woo RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
115	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CWS	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	NYY @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final/11 L
116	Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.79	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:00 PM ET Final L
117	Jonah Heim	3/3	BOS @ OAK		Sonny Gray S vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
118	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CWS	PH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	NYY @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final/11 L
119	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ OAK	PH	Mason Barnett RHB vs RHP ERA 4.74	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
120	Ivan Herrera	3/3	CHC @ STL	DH	Javier Assad RHB vs RHP ERA 3.86	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	CHC @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
121	Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	2B	Jake Irvin S vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	WSH @ ATL 7:00 PM ET Final L
122	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	C	Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.93	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	KC @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
123	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.79	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:00 PM ET Final L
124	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TEX @ TB	1B	Cole Winn LHB vs RHP ERA 6.11	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	TEX @ TB 12:10 PM ET Final L
125	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	CF	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 101–125 of 127 plays

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