Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

300

Total Found

171

Shown

171

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Javier Baez	3/3	DET @ OAK	SS	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
27	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	C	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.96	Hits	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	N/A	SF @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final
28	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Zac Thornton LHB vs LHP ERA 2.43	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	MIA @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
29	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
30	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CHC	LF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
31	Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	1B	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
32	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ CLE		Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	2	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final W
33	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	LF	Jacob deGrom LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
34	Sal Stewart ELITE	3/3	PIT @ CIN	1B	Braxton Ashcraft RHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-235	79.9	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	70.1%	29.9%	0	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
35	Jake Mangum ELITE	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RF	Andrew Abbott S vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-240	79.4	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	70.6%	29.4%	2	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
36	Yainer Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	C	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	4, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
37	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TB	1B	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.07	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	CHW @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final L
38	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
39	Andres Chaparro	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
40	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ LAD	3B	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
41	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD		Payton Tolle S vs LHP ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
42	Jose Altuve	3/3	TEX @ HOU	2B	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
43	Lawrence Butler	3/3	DET @ OAK		Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.53	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	2	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
44	Cole Young	3/3	MIN @ SEA	2B	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.73	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	MIN @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final W
45	Steven Kwan	3/3	ARI @ CLE	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	3	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final W
46	Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Runs Batted In	0.5	+266	72.7	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.3%	39.3%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
47	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	C	Quinn Mathews RHB vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	STL @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
48	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ OAK	1B	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
49	Freddie Freeman	3/3	BOS @ LAD	1B	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	3	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
50	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+240	70.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 171 plays

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