Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

300

Total Found

171

Shown

171

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Tommy Troy ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ CLE		Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final
102	Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK		Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
103	Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
104	Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Zac Thornton S vs LHP ERA 2.43	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	MIA @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
105	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN		Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-174	36.5	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.5%	3.2%	1	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
106	Roman Anthony ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Yoshinobu Yamamoto LHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
107	Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	2B	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 5.73	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	2	KC @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final W
108	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ LAD	C	Payton Tolle RHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
109	Noelvi Marte	3/3	PIT @ CIN		Braxton Ashcraft RHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-176	36.2	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.8%	2.9%	0	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
110	Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ CHC	3B	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Hits	0.5	-178	36.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.0%	2.6%	1	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final W
111	J.T. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ BAL	C	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.98	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
112	Gabriel Gonzalez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SEA		Logan Gilbert RHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.44	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	N/A	MIN @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final
113	Jose Tena	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
114	Cal Raleigh	3/3	MIN @ SEA	DH	Connor Prielipp S vs LHP ERA 4.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	MIN @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
115	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TB	1B	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.07	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	CHW @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final L
116	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CHC	DH	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	0	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
117	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL		Luinder Avila RHB vs RHP ERA 4.95	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	1	KC @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final W
118	Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	1	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
119	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
120	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final W
121	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ BAL		Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.73	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final
122	Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	PH	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
123	George Springer	3/3	STL @ TOR	DH	Quinn Mathews RHB vs LHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	2	STL @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
124	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	3B	Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	2	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
125	Travis d'Arnaud ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA		Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L

Showing 101–125 of 171 plays

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