Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

300

Total Found

171

Shown

171

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ SD	SS	Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 5.13	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	SF @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final L
127	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	STL @ TOR	3B	Quinn Mathews RHB vs LHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	STL @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
128	Ben Malgeri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	RF	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
129	Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ TOR	C	Quinn Mathews S vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	STL @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
130	Cam Smith	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RF	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	1	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
131	Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	1B	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	2	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final W
132	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TB	DH	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.07	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	CHW @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final L
133	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAA	CF	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
134	Isaac Paredes	3/3	TEX @ HOU	DH	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
135	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ TB	PH	Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.07	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	CHW @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final
136	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CHC		David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
137	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	PH	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
138	Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RF	Logan Gilbert RHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.44	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	MIN @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
139	Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ CLE		Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final
140	Travis Bazzana	3/3	ARI @ CLE	2B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final W
141	Bryan De La Cruz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BAL	LF	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
142	Daulton Varsho	3/3	STL @ TOR		Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	STL @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
143	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ COL	RF	Ryan Feltner LHB vs RHP ERA 5.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	2	KC @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final W
144	Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ BAL	CF	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
145	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TB	1B	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.07	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	CHW @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final L
146	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ OAK	1B	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
147	Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	1B	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
148	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CHC	PH	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
149	Josh Naylor	3/3	MIN @ SEA	1B	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.73	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	MIN @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
150	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SF @ SD		Tyler Mahle S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.96	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	SF @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 126–150 of 171 plays

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