Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

300

Total Found

171

Shown

171

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Brice Turang ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAA	2B	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.29	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	135.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	1	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
2	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	2	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
3	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	2	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final W
4	Javier Baez ELITE	3/3	DET @ OAK	SS	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.45	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	3, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
5	Shohei Ohtani ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
6	Eliezer Alfonzo ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD		Payton Tolle S vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final
7	Endy Rodriguez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN		Andrew Abbott S vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-139	91.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.2%	41.8%	N/A	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
8	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	2	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
9	Yainer Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	C	Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.67	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	TEX @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
10	Gabriel Arias ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE		TBD	Hits	0.5	-154	89.4	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.6%	39.4%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final
11	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	4, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	3	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final W
12	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD		Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 5.13	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	SF @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final L
13	Dane Myers ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN		Braxton Ashcraft RHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	N/A	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
14	Jackson Holliday ELITE	3/3	PHI @ BAL		Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.73	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
15	Alex Bregman ELITE	3/3	NYY @ CHC	DH	Max Fried RHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 3.23	Hits	0.5	-164	87.9	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.1%	37.9%	1	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final W
16	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	PH	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.72	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	BOS @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
17	Tyler Stephenson ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	C	Braxton Ashcraft RHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	N/A	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
18	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ CLE	DH	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	ARI @ CLE 7:15 PM ET Final L
19	Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL		Luinder Avila S vs RHP ERA 4.95	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	1	KC @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final W
20	Brandon Lowe ELITE	3/3	PIT @ CIN	2B	Andrew Abbott LHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	3, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	PIT @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
21	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.80	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	1	NYY @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final W
22	Daylen Lile ELITE	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Hits	0.5	-199	83.4	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.6%	33.4%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
23	Andres Chaparro	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.64	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
24	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAA	RF	José Soriano RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
25	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	SS	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.98	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 171 plays

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