Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jul 27 – Aug 2 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

21.9%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-02 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

327

Total Found

202

Shown

202

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 4.95	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	137.5	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	12.5%	87.5%	1	BOS @ LAD 7:20 PM ET Final L
2	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 4.95	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2	BOS @ LAD 7:20 PM ET Final W
3	Spencer Torkelson ELITE	3/3	DET @ OAK	1B	Gage Jump RHB vs LHP ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	2	DET @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final W
4	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.71	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final
5	Gabriel Moreno ELITE	3/3	ARI @ CLE	DH	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.71	Runs Batted In	0.5	+217	118.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.5%	68.5%	0	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
6	Trea Turner ELITE	3/3	PHI @ BAL	SS	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+190	115.5	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	34.5%	65.5%	1	PHI @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/6 L
7	Brice Turang ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAA	2B	Walbert Ureña LHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Runs Batted In	0.5	+189	115.4	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	34.6%	65.4%	0	MIL @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
8	Ryan Waldschmidt ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ CLE		Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.71	Hits	0.5	-105	98.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	51.2%	48.8%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final
9	Taylor Trammell ELITE	3/3	TEX @ HOU	LF	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.03	Hits	0.5	-109	97.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	52.2%	47.8%	1	TEX @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final W
10	Freddy Fermin ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	C	Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.12	Hits	0.5	-117	96.1	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.9%	46.1%	N/A	SF @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final
11	Denzer Guzman ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAA	3B	Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.58	Hits	0.5	-123	94.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.2%	44.8%	0	MIL @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final L
12	Eliezer Alfonzo ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD		Jake Bennett S vs LHP ERA 2.74	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	0	BOS @ LAD 7:20 PM ET Final L
13	Gabriel Arias ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE		TBD	Hits	0.5	-136	92.4	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.6%	42.4%	0	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
14	Cooper Pratt ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAA	SS	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	0.5	-152	89.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.3%	39.7%	1	MIL @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final W
15	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.71	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	3, 4, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final
16	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD		Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.38	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	SF @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
17	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RF	Colin Rea LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.67	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
18	Jake Bauers ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	Walbert Ureña LHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	0.5	-158	88.8	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	61.2%	38.8%	1	MIL @ LAA 3:15 PM ET Final W
19	Daniel Susac ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD		Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	SF @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
20	Dominic Smith ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ ATL	DH	Cade Cavalli LHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 3.55	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 1:35 PM ET Final
21	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 4.95	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	BOS @ LAD 7:20 PM ET Final W
22	Ketel Marte ELITE	3/3	ARI @ CLE	2B	Gavin Williams S vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.71	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	0	ARI @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
23	Nathaniel Lowe ELITE	3/3	PIT @ CIN		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.83	Hits	0.5	-182	85.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.5%	35.5%	3	PIT @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final W
24	Yainer Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	C	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 4.03	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	TEX @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
25	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	SS	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.74	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	PHI @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/6 L

Showing 1–25 of 202 plays

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