Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

193

Shown

193

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Lawrence Butler ELITE	3/3	TEX @ OAK		MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.43	Home Runs	0.5	+800	138.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	11.1%	88.9%	0	TEX @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
2	Carlos Cortes ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK		MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.43	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	133.3	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	N/A	TEX @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
3	Chase Meidroth ELITE	3/3	CWS @ DET	2B	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.46	Hits	1.5	+380	129.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	20.8%	79.2%	1	CHW @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
4	Pete Alonso ELITE	3/3	BAL @ TB		Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.08	Hits	1.5	+300	125.0	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	3	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 W
5	Ty France ELITE	3/3	SD @ CLE	1B	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
6	Jose Siri ELITE	3/3	KC @ LAA	PH	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 2.00	Hits	0.5	+100	100.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	0	KC @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
7	Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE	3/3	BOS @ PIT		Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-145	90.8	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	59.2%	40.8%	2	BOS @ PIT 7:15 PM ET Final W
8	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CLE	SS	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
9	Zac Veen	3/3	COL @ SF		Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.59	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
10	Zac Veen	3/3	COL @ SF		Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
11	Jared Young ELITE	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Brad Lord LHB vs RHP ERA 3.79	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	2	WSH @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final W
12	Luis Campusano	3/3	SD @ CLE	C	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	3, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
13	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB		Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 L
14	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ CLE	RF	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
15	Abimelec Ortiz	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.13	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	WSH @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
16	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB		Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.08	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 L
17	Richie Palacios	3/3	BAL @ TB	PH	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.69	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	1	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 L
18	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	COL @ SF		Michael Lorenzen LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.83	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
19	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	STL @ CHC	RF	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.64	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	STL @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
20	Eduardo Valencia ELITE	3/3	CWS @ DET	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-210	82.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	67.7%	32.3%	2	CHW @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final W
21	Corbin Carroll	3/3	ARI @ ATL	RF	Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.47	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	ARI @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
22	Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ NYM		Sean Manaea RHB vs LHP ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	2	WSH @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final W
23	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ DET	3B	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.46	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	CHW @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
24	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TOR	LF	Braydon Fisher LHB vs RHP ERA 3.54	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
25	Anthony Seigler ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ PIT		Jared Jones LHB vs RHP ERA 5.03	Hits	0.5	-222	81.1	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	68.9%	31.1%	0	BOS @ PIT 7:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 193 plays

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