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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 25 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
289
Shown
289
Actionable
68
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 BAL @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.07
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 123.3 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 26.7% 73.3% 0
BAL @ NYY
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
2 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 BAL @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.07
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 123.3 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 26.7% 73.3% 0
BAL @ NYY
7:30 PM ET
Final
L
3 Gabriel Moreno ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD DH TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +256 121.9 3, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 28.1% 71.9% 1
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
4 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD 3B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +254 121.8 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 28.2% 71.8% 2
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
5 Isaac Paredes ELITE 3/3 HOU @ OAK DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.68
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +164 112.1 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 37.9% 62.1% 0
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
6 Munetaka Murakami ELITE 3/3 COL @ CWS 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.36
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +152 110.3 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 39.7% 60.3% 3
COL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
7 Miguel Vargas ELITE 3/3 COL @ CWS 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.36
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +140 108.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 41.7% 58.3% 1
COL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
8 Cedric Mullins ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ PHI PH
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.93
 Hits 0.5 +112 102.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 47.2% 52.8% 1
TB @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
9 Matt McLain ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ TOR 2B TBD Hits 0.5 -107 98.3 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 51.7% 48.3% N/A
CIN @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
10 Andrew Knizner ELITE 3/3 LAD @ SF C
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.85
 Hits 0.5 -110 97.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 52.4% 47.6% 0
LAD @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
11 Nick Sogard ELITE 3/3 CHC @ BOS 2B
S vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
 Hits 0.5 -110 97.6 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 52.4% 47.6% 1
CHC @ BOS
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
12 Nick Sogard ELITE 3/3 CHC @ BOS 2B
S vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
 Hits 0.5 -110 97.6 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 52.4% 47.6% 1
CHC @ BOS
5:30 PM ET
Final
W
13 Brett Baty ELITE 3/3 NYM @ WSH 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.17
 Hits 0.5 -113 96.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.1% 46.9% 1
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
14 David Fry ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ KC 1B
RHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.92
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 1
CLE @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
15 Gary Sanchez ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ MIL PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.84
 Hits 0.5 -123 94.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.2% 44.8% N/A
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
16 Agustin Ramirez ELITE 3/3 ATL @ MIA DH TBD Hits 0.5 -128 93.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.1% 43.9% 1
ATL @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
17 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 BAL @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.07
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
BAL @ NYY
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
18 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 BAL @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.07
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
BAL @ NYY
7:30 PM ET
Final
L
19 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD 3B TBD Hits 0.5 -133 92.9 3, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 57.1% 42.9% 1
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
20 Walker Jenkins ELITE 3/3 TEX @ MIN CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.86
 Hits 0.5 -133 92.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.1% 42.9% 1
TEX @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
21 Austin Riley ELITE 3/3 ATL @ MIA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 4.14
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
ATL @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
22 Francisco Alvarez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ WSH C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.17
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
23 Ethan Salas ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SD C TBD Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
24 Lawrence Butler ELITE 3/3 HOU @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.26
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 3, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 0
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
25 Salvador Perez ELITE 3/3 CLE @ KC DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.63
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 1
CLE @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 1–25 of 289 plays
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