Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Angel Martinez

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.6 • 32

Top 1

Angel Martinez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Casey Schmitt

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jorge Soler

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

James Wood

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	H	2.7	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ BAL	H	2.3	1.0	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ CIN	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ MIL	H	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Corbin Carroll ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ PHI	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ CIN	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ NYM	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Max Muncy	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ NYM	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Max Muncy	3/3	TEX @ LAD	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Alex Freeland	3/3	TEX @ LAD	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	CLE @ ATL	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Edouard Julien	3/3	COL @ SD	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ BAL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Isbel	3/3	CWS @ KC	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	CLE @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CHC	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ BAL	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ SD	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	CLE @ ATL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Beavers	3/3	SF @ BAL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jonathan India ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	TEX @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ian Happ ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CHC	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TOR	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	MIN @ TOR	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Ward	3/3	SF @ BAL	H	2.0	1.8	0.7	57	OVER	+0.2	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gavin Sheets	3/3	COL @ SD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CIN	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adolis Garcia	3/3	AZ @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	PIT @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	MIN @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	AZ @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corbin Carroll ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	OAK @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan India ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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